Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.038297e-01 0.897702 1.115244 1.374692 1.672962 2.002521 2.391536
2025-08-24 4.622471e-01 0.713331 1.029634 1.444731 1.962674 2.575875 3.344719
2025-08-31 2.893767e-01 0.550255 0.920485 1.451955 2.164030 3.055957 4.227791
2025-09-07 2.007107e-01 0.467509 0.889552 1.542553 2.467579 3.675878 5.317323
2025-09-14 1.349633e-01 0.392116 0.846459 1.600801 2.723683 4.243925 6.367101
2025-09-21 8.641613e-02 0.322844 0.792276 1.627177 2.928350 4.747243 7.349409
2025-09-28 4.928371e-02 0.252873 0.715267 1.599897 3.043813 5.126083 8.173947
2025-10-05 2.980122e-02 0.211503 0.678610 1.629423 3.240611 5.621652 9.168680
2025-10-12 1.647031e-02 0.173914 0.637094 1.640759 3.404206 6.070945 10.108688
2025-10-19 6.904249e-03 0.132388 0.570813 1.593081 3.463525 6.363916 10.832514
2025-10-26 2.351086e-03 0.101193 0.516512 1.557095 3.534653 6.671963 11.581378
2025-11-02 7.114002e-04 0.082426 0.488253 1.568159 3.683931 7.101167 12.513311
2025-11-09 4.493106e-05 0.059898 0.436706 1.522074 3.731802 7.380379 13.243865
2025-11-16 6.874860e-07 0.052859 0.436322 1.591506 3.993131 8.005567 14.503664
2025-11-23 NaN 0.041291 0.410565 1.596365 4.133910 8.441802 15.490997
2025-11-30 NaN 0.038284 0.421071 1.691511 4.449957 9.170136 16.933366
2025-12-07 NaN 0.033250 0.418549 1.752774 4.703195 9.801994 18.240924
2025-12-14 NaN 0.026955 0.404168 1.780447 4.891378 10.330801 19.400361
2025-12-21 NaN 0.019095 0.371073 1.751218 4.963567 10.667199 20.269231
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015286 0.360379 1.782532 5.158147 11.212580 21.469419
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011538 0.344187 1.794539 5.312327 11.691653 22.572569
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007062 0.309727 1.743787 5.331084 11.937882 23.313819
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004179 0.281432 1.705468 5.371960 12.221169 24.116209